Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.106829 1.257832 1.422379 1.615080 1.834687 2.077305 2.365880
2025-12-21 0.855811 1.056522 1.294287 1.597099 1.973114 2.425503 3.012381
2025-12-28 0.743918 0.972736 1.260010 1.647957 2.159561 2.813128 3.714647
2026-01-04 0.638309 0.874377 1.185028 1.625008 2.234379 3.051931 4.237821
2026-01-11 0.579183 0.826114 1.164637 1.664438 2.386977 3.398888 4.933060
2026-01-18 0.521662 0.771253 1.126095 1.669743 2.486315 3.674675 5.549213
2026-01-25 0.466695 0.712754 1.074282 1.647096 2.537918 3.880457 6.076226
2026-02-01 0.416717 0.655678 1.017563 1.608950 2.558624 4.036824 6.536814
2026-02-08 0.374452 0.605748 0.966034 1.572048 2.574812 4.183532 6.991077
2026-02-15 0.348747 0.579281 0.948166 1.585993 2.672100 4.465725 7.691813
2026-02-22 0.321986 0.548282 0.919650 1.578667 2.731611 4.688389 8.309781
2026-03-01 0.296117 0.516218 0.886160 1.559006 2.766739 4.870457 8.870963
2026-03-08 0.265295 0.475224 0.837973 1.516835 2.772212 5.025964 9.449489
2026-03-15 0.241276 0.444304 0.805148 1.500379 2.825719 5.279675 10.254729
2026-03-22 0.229352 0.433871 0.807484 1.548068 3.002493 5.778159 11.587269
2026-03-29 0.209563 0.406471 0.775479 1.526546 3.043039 6.020042 12.438645
2026-04-05 0.199112 0.395814 0.773815 1.563524 3.202297 6.510417 13.856189
2026-04-12 0.186006 0.378481 0.757276 1.568499 3.296335 6.878207 15.058593
2026-04-19 0.171455 0.356688 0.729587 1.547261 3.332631 7.128934 16.035323
2026-04-26 0.156959 0.333523 0.696764 1.511486 3.333318 7.302785 16.859519
2026-05-03 0.144025 0.312371 0.666044 1.476877 3.332385 7.472048 17.692350
2026-05-10 0.136447 0.302054 0.657345 1.489956 3.439941 7.894957 19.175411
2026-05-17 0.127870 0.288671 0.640658 1.483085 3.500465 8.215994 20.450513